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Red23
789014.4
368011.0
663914.0
Blue50
68887.8
4358.3
479530.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33490204060802350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7890
#13
14.40.6
11.510.9
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
blue by 15.7
30.10.2
28.128.0
Auto10.5
Teleop18.9
End0.6
Second
6639
#10
14.01.0
13.612.6
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End0.7
red by 5.7
435
#12
8.30.2
4.54.4
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End1.3
Third
3680
#23
11.01.0
6.75.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.0
red by 3.3
6888
#14
7.80.3
9.79.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed