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Red65
872727.6
97895.7
58722.1
Blue33
42909.7
903212.6
96075.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50340204060801001206533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.61.3
21.823.2
Auto12.2
Teleop13.8
End1.6
red by 15.1
9032
#21
12.62.2
9.77.6
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End1.4
Second
587
#9
22.11.3
16.317.6
Auto10.4
Teleop9.3
End2.4
red by 12.4
4290
#20
9.72.2
13.010.8
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End1.0
Third
9789
#17
5.72.2
5.27.3
Auto4.1
Teleop0.9
End0.7
red by 0.1
9607
#16
5.72.2
9.97.7
Auto3.8
Teleop1.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed