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Red33
69327.5
842916.5
91506.8
Blue51
776327.2
90425.3
97624.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314002060801003351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.50.2
16.917.1
Auto6.3
Teleop8.9
End1.2
blue by 10.7
27.20.6
24.224.7
Auto9.5
Teleop17.0
End0.6
Second
6932
#26
7.50.4
7.07.4
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End0.7
red by 2.2
9042
#27
5.30.6
4.14.7
Auto3.5
Teleop1.3
End0.5
Third
9150
#11
6.80.2
5.35.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End0.7
red by 2.1
9762
#25
4.71.0
7.08.0
Auto2.4
Teleop1.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed