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Red45
479530.1
12256.7
350619.1
Blue19
96053.5
92975.5
789014.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6518040801004519

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.10.9
28.027.1
Auto10.5
Teleop18.9
End0.6
red by 15.7
7890
#13
14.40.2
10.910.7
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Second
19.11.5
17.616.2
Auto10.8
Teleop7.4
End0.9
red by 13.6
9297
#28
5.50.4
8.17.7
Auto1.3
Teleop3.6
End0.7
Third
1225
#19
6.71.5
7.66.2
Auto4.9
Teleop0.9
End0.9
red by 3.2
3.50.4
3.22.9
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed