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Red69
776327.2
12256.7
842916.5
Blue52
903212.6
69327.5
486111.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5719040801006952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.8
24.525.3
Auto9.5
Teleop17.0
End0.6
red by 14.6
9032
#21
12.62.4
6.99.3
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End1.4
Second
16.50.8
16.617.4
Auto6.3
Teleop8.9
End1.2
red by 5.4
4861
#22
11.11.7
8.710.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End0.5
Third
1225
#19
6.71.2
6.07.1
Auto4.9
Teleop0.9
End0.9
blue by 0.8
6932
#26
7.52.4
6.28.7
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed