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Red54
58722.1
789014.4
56796.5
Blue64
91506.8
96075.7
90020.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393502060801005464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#9
22.11.0
18.919.9
Auto10.4
Teleop9.3
End2.4
red by 1.3
900
#6
20.81.5
19.120.6
Auto10.0
Teleop9.6
End1.2
Second
7890
#13
14.41.0
11.012.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
red by 7.6
9150
#11
6.81.5
6.47.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End0.7
Third
5679
#24
6.51.4
4.76.1
Auto4.2
Teleop1.4
End0.9
red by 0.8
9607
#16
5.72.1
6.48.5
Auto3.8
Teleop1.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed