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Red54
479530.1
97895.7
96053.5
Blue27
92985.8
4358.3
663914.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382602060805427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.11.1
27.328.3
Auto10.5
Teleop18.9
End0.6
red by 16.0
6639
#10
14.00.2
14.214.3
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End0.7
Second
9789
#17
5.71.5
5.26.8
Auto4.1
Teleop0.9
End0.7
blue by 2.6
435
#12
8.30.1
6.06.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End1.3
Third
3.51.5
0.72.2
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.1
End0.5
blue by 2.3
9298
#18
5.80.2
5.25.4
Auto1.5
Teleop3.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed