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Red79
486111.1
479530.1
872727.6
Blue82
4358.3
776327.2
58722.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7354020401001201407982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.11.0
28.329.3
Auto10.5
Teleop18.9
End0.6
red by 2.9
27.21.7
25.327.0
Auto9.5
Teleop17.0
End0.6
Second
27.61.0
25.426.4
Auto12.2
Teleop13.8
End1.6
red by 5.6
587
#9
22.11.7
19.921.6
Auto10.4
Teleop9.3
End2.4
Third
4861
#22
11.11.0
10.411.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End0.5
red by 2.8
435
#12
8.31.7
6.17.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed