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Red8
90425.3
92985.8
97895.7
Blue43
368011.0
97624.7
789014.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20270103040506070843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9298
#18
5.81.0
5.44.4
Auto1.5
Teleop3.4
End0.9
blue by 8.6
7890
#13
14.41.3
12.013.3
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Second
9789
#17
5.71.0
6.85.8
Auto4.1
Teleop0.9
End0.7
blue by 5.3
3680
#23
11.01.7
7.29.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.0
Third
9042
#27
5.30.7
6.65.9
Auto3.5
Teleop1.3
End0.5
red by 0.7
9762
#25
4.71.7
4.15.9
Auto2.4
Teleop1.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed