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Red61
663914.0
350619.1
58722.1
Blue41
776327.2
97624.7
92975.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454220305060706141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#9
22.11.7
12.314.0
Auto10.4
Teleop9.3
End2.4
blue by 5.1
27.20.5
24.624.1
Auto9.5
Teleop17.0
End0.6
Second
19.12.8
14.917.7
Auto10.8
Teleop7.4
End0.9
red by 13.6
9297
#28
5.50.8
9.38.6
Auto1.3
Teleop3.6
End0.7
Third
6639
#10
14.02.8
8.311.2
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End0.7
red by 9.3
9762
#25
4.73.5
4.88.4
Auto2.4
Teleop1.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed