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Red50
949632.4
56796.5
92985.8
Blue23
90425.3
486111.1
12256.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions522204060801001205023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.0
29.229.2
Auto14.2
Teleop17.0
End1.2
red by 21.3
4861
#22
11.10.5
10.09.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End0.5
Second
5679
#24
6.50.0
6.97.0
Auto4.2
Teleop1.4
End0.9
blue by 0.2
1225
#19
6.70.8
7.66.8
Auto4.9
Teleop0.9
End0.9
Third
9298
#18
5.80.0
7.67.6
Auto1.5
Teleop3.4
End0.9
red by 0.4
9042
#27
5.30.5
5.75.2
Auto3.5
Teleop1.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed