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Red17
68887.8
789014.4
69327.5
Blue42
872727.6
97895.7
57277.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325802040801001742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7890
#13
14.41.0
13.812.8
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
blue by 13.3
27.61.0
21.920.9
Auto12.2
Teleop13.8
End1.6
Second
6888
#14
7.81.7
10.18.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End1.4
red by 0.2
5727
#15
7.61.6
19.618.0
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End1.0
Third
6932
#26
7.51.7
8.56.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End0.7
red by 1.8
9789
#17
5.71.6
8.16.5
Auto4.1
Teleop0.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed