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Red15
57277.6
91506.8
56796.5
Blue25
663914.0
842916.5
96053.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244102060801525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5727
#15
7.60.7
9.58.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End1.0
blue by 8.9
16.50.8
16.515.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Second
9150
#11
6.80.6
7.46.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End0.7
blue by 7.3
6639
#10
14.01.0
15.314.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End0.7
Third
5679
#24
6.50.7
7.16.4
Auto4.2
Teleop1.4
End0.9
red by 3.0
3.51.0
2.91.9
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed