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Red49
69327.5
96075.7
776327.2
Blue35
949632.4
68887.8
90425.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45510204060801004935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.2
27.026.8
Auto9.5
Teleop17.0
End0.6
blue by 5.2
32.40.7
31.030.3
Auto14.2
Teleop17.0
End1.2
Second
6932
#26
7.50.2
7.77.4
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End0.7
blue by 0.3
6888
#14
7.80.8
8.37.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End1.4
Third
9607
#16
5.70.2
6.86.6
Auto3.8
Teleop1.4
End0.5
red by 0.3
9042
#27
5.30.7
5.95.2
Auto3.5
Teleop1.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed