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Red118
479539.8
153318.0
949634.8
Blue114
873827.4
689425.4
264230.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1039020406080120140160180118114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.5
39.540.0
Auto13.8
Teleop24.8
End1.1
red by 9.8
30.00.3
30.130.4
Auto6.6
Teleop22.5
End0.9
Second
34.80.5
34.435.0
Auto13.4
Teleop20.3
End1.0
red by 7.4
8738
#20
27.40.3
27.527.8
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End2.4
Third
1533
#25
18.00.5
17.718.2
Auto8.6
Teleop8.0
End1.4
blue by 7.4
6894
#23
25.40.3
25.525.8
Auto11.1
Teleop12.9
End1.3