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Red104
479539.8
153318.0
949634.8
Blue68
873827.4
689425.4
264230.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105912040608012014016018010468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.2
40.039.8
Auto13.8
Teleop24.8
End1.1
red by 9.8
30.00.4
30.430.0
Auto6.6
Teleop22.5
End0.9
Second
34.80.2
35.034.8
Auto13.4
Teleop20.3
End1.0
red by 7.4
8738
#20
27.40.4
27.827.4
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End2.4
Third
1533
#25
18.00.2
18.218.0
Auto8.6
Teleop8.0
End1.4
blue by 7.4
6894
#23
25.40.4
25.825.4
Auto11.1
Teleop12.9
End1.3