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Red78
949634.8
663919.7
830412.3
Blue57
650220.1
264014.1
90018.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795202040601001201407857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.3
34.434.7
Auto13.4
Teleop20.3
End1.0
red by 14.6
6502
#26
20.10.3
19.219.5
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End2.3
Second
6639
#13
19.70.3
18.618.9
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End1.1
red by 1.6
900
#28
18.10.3
20.821.1
Auto7.3
Teleop10.1
End0.6
Third
8304
#34
12.30.3
15.115.4
Auto5.7
Teleop5.9
End0.6
blue by 1.9
2640
#37
14.10.3
9.910.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed