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Red61
319625.8
516022.0
12257.2
Blue92
776330.0
479539.8
600417.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions498302040601001201406192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3196
#17
25.80.8
24.525.3
Auto8.7
Teleop16.0
End1.2
blue by 14.0
39.81.4
30.131.5
Auto13.8
Teleop24.8
End1.1
Second
5160
#31
22.00.8
16.317.1
Auto6.0
Teleop13.6
End2.4
blue by 8.1
30.01.4
27.228.6
Auto7.6
Teleop22.2
End0.3
Third
1225
#38
7.20.8
7.68.4
Auto4.7
Teleop1.2
End1.3
blue by 10.5
6004
#11
17.71.4
13.915.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed