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Red27
842919.7
92989.9
91506.7
Blue62
903224.5
345922.9
672922.5
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277402040601001201402762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8429
#24
19.70.3
16.516.2
Auto8.2
Teleop10.4
End1.1
blue by 4.7
24.50.0
21.621.7
Auto11.9
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Second
9298
#30
9.90.3
6.56.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End0.6
blue by 13.0
3459
#16
22.90.0
18.718.8
Auto10.1
Teleop11.4
End1.3
Third
9150
#40
6.70.3
6.86.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End0.6
blue by 15.9
22.50.0
20.921.0
Auto8.1
Teleop13.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed