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Red61
69327.8
929714.9
482829.6
Blue54
350623.1
456120.6
373723.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5171204060801001201406154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.9
27.528.3
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End2.4
red by 6.4
23.20.9
19.418.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.7
End2.2
Second
9297
#14
14.90.9
12.213.1
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End0.3
blue by 8.2
3506
#12
23.10.9
21.020.0
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End0.7
Third
6932
#33
7.80.9
8.59.4
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.0
blue by 12.8
4561
#21
20.60.9
21.720.8
Auto6.3
Teleop14.5
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed