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Red56
205920.6
650018.8
900823.9
Blue58
264230.0
87579.0
689425.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705601001505658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9008
#19
23.90.5
25.124.6
Auto8.3
Teleop14.5
End1.2
blue by 6.1
30.00.4
20.721.0
Auto6.6
Teleop22.5
End0.9
Second
2059
#22
20.60.5
18.718.2
Auto9.3
Teleop10.1
End1.3
blue by 4.7
6894
#23
25.40.4
24.024.4
Auto11.1
Teleop12.9
End1.3
Third
6500
#15
18.80.5
17.817.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End2.2
red by 9.9
8757
#36
9.00.4
7.98.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed