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Red70
516022.0
482922.2
205920.6
Blue44
373723.2
264014.1
12257.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions663702060801001207044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4829
#10
22.20.6
22.022.6
Auto7.7
Teleop13.6
End0.9
blue by 1.0
23.20.3
18.318.6
Auto5.3
Teleop15.7
End2.2
Second
5160
#31
22.00.6
16.717.3
Auto6.0
Teleop13.6
End2.4
red by 7.9
2640
#37
14.10.3
9.910.2
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Third
2059
#22
20.60.6
17.818.3
Auto9.3
Teleop10.1
End1.3
red by 13.5
1225
#38
7.20.3
9.19.4
Auto4.7
Teleop1.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsEarned