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Red77
479539.8
350623.1
90018.1
Blue36
789015.3
842919.7
689425.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8155020401001201407736

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.3
30.630.9
Auto13.8
Teleop24.8
End1.1
red by 14.5
6894
#23
25.41.1
22.521.4
Auto11.1
Teleop12.9
End1.3
Second
3506
#12
23.10.3
19.619.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End0.7
red by 3.4
8429
#24
19.71.1
16.014.9
Auto8.2
Teleop10.4
End1.1
Third
900
#28
18.10.3
20.120.4
Auto7.3
Teleop10.1
End0.6
red by 2.8
7890
#35
15.31.1
14.613.4
Auto7.5
Teleop6.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed