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Red51
153318.0
42908.5
776330.0
Blue81
663919.7
650018.8
456120.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69612040801001205181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.7
29.428.8
Auto7.6
Teleop22.2
End0.3
red by 9.4
4561
#21
20.61.7
21.723.4
Auto6.3
Teleop14.5
End-0.2
Second
1533
#25
18.00.7
19.819.2
Auto8.6
Teleop8.0
End1.4
blue by 1.7
6639
#13
19.71.7
18.720.3
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End1.1
Third
4290
#39
8.50.7
11.911.2
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End0.5
blue by 10.3
6500
#15
18.81.7
15.817.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed