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Red58
672922.5
873827.4
92989.9
Blue56
872731.2
58723.8
87579.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56642040801005856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8738
#20
27.40.1
25.325.4
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End2.4
blue by 3.8
31.20.1
28.128.1
Auto12.8
Teleop16.7
End1.7
Second
22.50.1
19.219.3
Auto8.1
Teleop13.1
End1.4
blue by 1.3
587
#27
23.80.1
20.420.3
Auto8.1
Teleop13.6
End2.1
Third
9298
#30
9.90.1
7.17.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End0.6
red by 1.0
8757
#36
9.00.1
8.38.3
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed