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Red74
689425.4
345922.9
264014.1
Blue90
776330.0
373723.2
744319.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54690204060801001207490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6894
#23
25.41.6
21.122.6
Auto11.1
Teleop12.9
End1.3
blue by 4.7
30.00.6
28.829.4
Auto7.6
Teleop22.2
End0.3
Second
3459
#16
22.91.6
19.220.8
Auto10.1
Teleop11.4
End1.3
blue by 0.3
23.20.6
17.518.1
Auto5.3
Teleop15.7
End2.2
Third
2640
#37
14.11.6
10.211.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End2.0
blue by 5.1
7443
#18
19.20.6
14.314.9
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned