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Red62
600417.7
350623.1
650220.1
Blue70
58723.8
482922.2
650018.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56672040801001206270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#12
23.10.7
18.419.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End0.7
blue by 0.7
587
#27
23.80.6
20.319.7
Auto8.1
Teleop13.6
End2.1
Second
6502
#26
20.10.7
17.918.5
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End2.3
blue by 2.1
4829
#10
22.20.6
21.120.5
Auto7.7
Teleop13.6
End0.9
Third
6004
#11
17.70.7
15.416.1
Auto5.6
Teleop11.3
End0.8
blue by 1.1
6500
#15
18.80.6
17.516.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned