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Red61
91506.7
456120.6
873827.4
Blue66
92989.9
663919.7
516022.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594701001506166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8738
#20
27.40.6
24.925.6
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End2.4
red by 5.4
5160
#31
22.01.1
17.618.7
Auto6.0
Teleop13.6
End2.4
Second
4561
#21
20.60.6
22.523.1
Auto6.3
Teleop14.5
End-0.2
red by 1.0
6639
#13
19.71.1
18.819.9
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End1.1
Third
9150
#40
6.70.6
4.24.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End0.6
blue by 3.3
9298
#30
9.91.1
7.78.8
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed