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Red51
322916.5
87579.0
482829.6
Blue59
153318.0
830412.3
264230.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6262405070805159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.3
27.326.1
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End2.4
blue by 0.4
30.00.5
24.323.8
Auto6.6
Teleop22.5
End0.9
Second
3229
#29
16.51.3
19.418.1
Auto4.9
Teleop10.8
End0.8
blue by 1.5
1533
#25
18.00.5
19.218.7
Auto8.6
Teleop8.0
End1.4
Third
8757
#36
9.01.3
9.48.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End0.8
blue by 3.3
8304
#34
12.30.5
12.712.2
Auto5.7
Teleop5.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed