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Red48
69327.8
153318.0
345922.9
Blue39
91506.7
900823.9
87579.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553602060801004839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3459
#16
22.90.0
20.820.8
Auto10.1
Teleop11.4
End1.3
blue by 1.0
9008
#19
23.90.3
22.222.4
Auto8.3
Teleop14.5
End1.2
Second
1533
#25
18.00.0
18.718.7
Auto8.6
Teleop8.0
End1.4
red by 9.0
8757
#36
9.00.3
8.18.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End0.8
Third
6932
#33
7.80.0
7.87.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.0
red by 1.2
9150
#40
6.70.3
4.85.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed