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Red88
456120.6
672922.5
264230.0
Blue101
322916.5
373723.2
479539.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75766070809010088101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.7
23.824.5
Auto6.6
Teleop22.5
End0.9
blue by 9.8
39.81.8
32.434.2
Auto13.8
Teleop24.8
End1.1
Second
22.50.7
21.121.8
Auto8.1
Teleop13.1
End1.4
blue by 0.7
23.21.8
18.119.9
Auto5.3
Teleop15.7
End2.2
Third
4561
#21
20.60.7
23.123.8
Auto6.3
Teleop14.5
End-0.2
red by 4.1
3229
#29
16.51.8
18.120.0
Auto4.9
Teleop10.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed