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Red79
482829.6
453421.0
663919.7
Blue27
205920.6
12257.2
789015.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8141020601001201407927

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.7
26.126.8
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End2.4
red by 9.0
2059
#22
20.61.0
18.817.8
Auto9.3
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Second
4534
#32
21.00.7
22.323.0
Auto6.4
Teleop13.1
End1.5
red by 5.6
7890
#35
15.31.0
15.114.1
Auto7.5
Teleop6.4
End1.4
Third
6639
#13
19.70.7
19.920.6
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End1.1
red by 12.5
1225
#38
7.21.0
8.17.1
Auto4.7
Teleop1.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed