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Red95
516022.0
90018.1
949634.8
Blue91
153318.0
350623.1
903224.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846520401001209591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.3
33.734.0
Auto13.4
Teleop20.3
End1.0
red by 10.3
24.51.0
22.521.5
Auto11.9
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Second
5160
#31
22.00.3
18.218.5
Auto6.0
Teleop13.6
End2.4
blue by 1.1
3506
#12
23.11.0
19.518.5
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End0.7
Third
900
#28
18.10.3
21.722.0
Auto7.3
Teleop10.1
End0.6
red by 0.1
1533
#25
18.01.0
18.717.7
Auto8.6
Teleop8.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsEarned