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Red86
456120.6
322916.5
600417.7
Blue75
650220.1
205920.6
345922.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6564304050607080901001108675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#21
20.60.2
23.823.6
Auto6.3
Teleop14.5
End-0.2
blue by 2.3
3459
#16
22.90.2
20.821.0
Auto10.1
Teleop11.4
End1.3
Second
6004
#11
17.70.2
14.814.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.3
End0.8
blue by 3.0
2059
#22
20.60.2
17.818.0
Auto9.3
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Third
3229
#29
16.50.2
20.019.8
Auto4.9
Teleop10.8
End0.8
blue by 3.6
6502
#26
20.10.2
19.219.5
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed