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Red48
453421.0
92989.9
87579.0
Blue70
842919.7
663919.7
744319.2
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4359020801004870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4534
#32
21.00.2
23.022.8
Auto6.4
Teleop13.1
End1.5
red by 1.3
8429
#24
19.71.2
16.017.2
Auto8.2
Teleop10.4
End1.1
Second
9298
#30
9.90.2
9.79.5
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End0.6
blue by 9.8
6639
#13
19.71.2
20.621.9
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End1.1
Third
8757
#36
9.00.2
8.48.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End0.8
blue by 10.2
7443
#18
19.21.2
15.116.3
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed