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Red69
689425.4
776330.0
663919.7
Blue79
949634.8
600417.7
900823.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857840601001201406979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.5
30.630.1
Auto7.6
Teleop22.2
End0.3
blue by 4.7
34.80.0
34.034.1
Auto13.4
Teleop20.3
End1.0
Second
6894
#23
25.40.5
23.823.3
Auto11.1
Teleop12.9
End1.3
red by 1.5
9008
#19
23.90.0
22.822.8
Auto8.3
Teleop14.5
End1.2
Third
6639
#13
19.70.5
21.921.4
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End1.1
red by 2.0
6004
#11
17.70.0
14.714.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed