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Red62
650018.8
516022.0
345922.9
Blue112
479539.8
58723.8
482829.6
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions591015015062112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3459
#16
22.90.2
22.322.5
Auto10.1
Teleop11.4
End1.3
blue by 16.9
39.81.7
36.638.3
Auto13.8
Teleop24.8
End1.1
Second
5160
#31
22.00.2
20.120.3
Auto6.0
Teleop13.6
End2.4
blue by 7.6
29.61.7
27.529.2
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End2.4
Third
6500
#15
18.80.2
15.916.2
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End2.2
blue by 5.0
587
#27
23.81.7
22.724.3
Auto8.1
Teleop13.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed