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Red70
350623.1
42908.5
319625.8
Blue23
69327.8
87579.0
264014.1
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions632902040801001207023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3196
#17
25.80.8
25.326.1
Auto8.7
Teleop16.0
End1.2
red by 11.7
2640
#37
14.10.5
13.212.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Second
3506
#12
23.10.8
18.819.6
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End0.7
red by 14.1
8757
#36
9.00.5
9.48.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End0.8
Third
4290
#39
8.50.8
9.09.8
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End0.5
red by 0.7
6932
#33
7.80.5
8.07.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed