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Red62
744319.2
650220.1
929714.9
Blue63
205920.6
153318.0
873827.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5473204060801001206263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#26
20.10.4
19.519.9
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End2.3
blue by 7.3
8738
#20
27.40.1
25.425.3
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End2.4
Second
7443
#18
19.20.4
17.517.8
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End2.2
blue by 1.5
2059
#22
20.60.1
20.620.6
Auto9.3
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Third
9297
#14
14.90.4
14.414.7
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End0.3
blue by 3.1
1533
#25
18.00.1
18.218.1
Auto8.6
Teleop8.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed