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Red98
949634.8
453421.0
264230.0
Blue50
900823.9
689425.4
456120.6
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions937540601001201409850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.7
34.134.8
Auto13.4
Teleop20.3
End1.0
red by 9.4
6894
#23
25.41.3
23.321.9
Auto11.1
Teleop12.9
End1.3
Second
30.00.7
26.527.2
Auto6.6
Teleop22.5
End0.9
red by 6.1
9008
#19
23.91.3
23.121.8
Auto8.3
Teleop14.5
End1.2
Third
4534
#32
21.00.7
21.422.1
Auto6.4
Teleop13.1
End1.5
red by 0.3
4561
#21
20.61.3
23.522.2
Auto6.3
Teleop14.5
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed