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Red37
90018.1
91506.7
830412.3
Blue52
600417.7
92989.9
789015.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484301001502003752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#28
18.11.0
20.519.5
Auto7.3
Teleop10.1
End0.6
red by 0.4
6004
#11
17.70.7
14.715.4
Auto5.6
Teleop11.3
End0.8
Second
8304
#34
12.31.0
13.912.8
Auto5.7
Teleop5.9
End0.6
blue by 3.0
7890
#35
15.30.7
15.516.2
Auto7.5
Teleop6.4
End1.4
Third
9150
#40
6.71.0
8.27.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End0.6
blue by 3.3
9298
#30
9.90.7
9.610.3
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed