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Red79
600417.7
264230.0
373723.2
Blue76
516022.0
842919.7
350623.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766220401001201407976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.8
28.429.2
Auto6.6
Teleop22.5
End0.9
red by 6.9
3506
#12
23.10.9
19.920.8
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End0.7
Second
23.20.8
22.823.6
Auto5.3
Teleop15.7
End2.2
red by 1.2
5160
#31
22.00.9
19.520.4
Auto6.0
Teleop13.6
End2.4
Third
6004
#11
17.70.8
15.916.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.3
End0.8
blue by 2.0
8429
#24
19.70.9
18.119.0
Auto8.2
Teleop10.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed