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Red22
69327.8
91506.7
322916.5
Blue80
689425.4
482829.6
744319.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298002040601001202280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3229
#29
16.50.7
16.916.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.8
End0.8
blue by 13.1
29.60.9
27.228.2
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End2.4
Second
6932
#33
7.80.7
7.87.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.0
blue by 17.5
6894
#23
25.40.9
22.022.9
Auto11.1
Teleop12.9
End1.3
Third
9150
#40
6.70.7
7.77.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End0.6
blue by 12.5
7443
#18
19.20.9
16.817.7
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed