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Red79
929714.9
949634.8
205920.6
Blue64
90018.1
872731.2
482922.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778240601001207964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.1
34.134.0
Auto13.4
Teleop20.3
End1.0
red by 3.5
31.20.6
32.231.6
Auto12.8
Teleop16.7
End1.7
Second
2059
#22
20.60.1
21.121.0
Auto9.3
Teleop10.1
End1.3
blue by 1.6
4829
#10
22.20.6
23.122.4
Auto7.7
Teleop13.6
End0.9
Third
9297
#14
14.90.1
15.215.1
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End0.3
blue by 3.2
900
#28
18.10.6
18.117.5
Auto7.3
Teleop10.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed