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Red44
672920.9
87577.9
56794.6
Blue36
57277.1
688816.0
96077.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282604060801001201404436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.6
16.517.1
Auto8.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1
red by 5.0
6888
#10
16.00.8
8.89.6
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End1.5
Second
8757
#22
7.90.6
2.32.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.0
End0.8
red by 0.6
9607
#16
7.20.8
6.97.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Third
5679
#29
4.60.6
6.36.8
Auto3.9
Teleop-0.1
End0.8
blue by 2.5
5727
#23
7.10.8
8.08.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed