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Red28
69087.5
80307.9
689424.0
Blue41
97246.5
482920.2
651211.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354202060801002841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.6
18.818.2
Auto10.1
Teleop12.2
End1.8
red by 3.8
20.20.3
17.818.1
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End1.1
Second
8030
#12
7.91.1
7.05.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End0.9
blue by 3.8
11.80.3
12.012.3
Auto5.1
Teleop3.9
End2.7
Third
6908
#21
7.50.6
6.96.3
Auto4.4
Teleop2.8
End0.4
red by 1.1
9724
#19
6.50.3
7.27.4
Auto3.4
Teleop2.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed