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Red38
49358.9
368012.6
429014.2
Blue75
91985.6
33498.2
949634.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28470204060803875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.20.7
10.811.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.0
End1.3
blue by 20.1
34.42.0
32.234.2
Auto15.4
Teleop17.6
End1.4
Second
3680
#13
12.60.7
10.110.8
Auto5.7
Teleop5.5
End1.3
red by 4.4
3349
#20
8.22.0
4.96.9
Auto4.8
Teleop2.4
End1.0
Third
4935
#15
8.90.7
6.77.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End1.2
red by 3.3
9198
#26
5.62.0
3.15.1
Auto1.5
Teleop3.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed