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Red55
97246.5
949634.4
663918.6
Blue9
651211.8
69328.5
97624.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions642104080100559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.40.1
32.432.5
Auto15.4
Teleop17.6
End1.4
red by 22.6
11.81.0
11.910.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.9
End2.7
Second
18.60.1
14.014.2
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End1.4
red by 10.1
6932
#24
8.51.0
7.56.5
Auto4.7
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Third
9724
#19
6.50.1
6.66.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.8
End0.3
red by 1.6
9762
#30
4.81.0
4.73.7
Auto2.8
Teleop1.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed