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Red27
96056.4
49358.9
672920.9
Blue23
92986.5
87577.9
482920.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2930010204050602723

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.1
16.316.2
Auto8.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1
red by 0.7
20.20.6
18.618.0
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End1.1
Second
4935
#15
8.90.1
6.86.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End1.2
red by 1.0
8757
#22
7.90.6
2.92.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Third
9605
#17
6.40.1
3.53.4
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End1.0
blue by 0.1
9298
#27
6.50.6
5.85.2
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed