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Red42
482920.2
97624.8
56794.6
Blue52
26409.9
689424.0
92986.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294001020506070804252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.21.0
17.218.2
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End1.1
blue by 3.8
24.00.8
18.719.5
Auto10.1
Teleop12.2
End1.8
Second
9762
#30
4.81.0
3.03.9
Auto2.8
Teleop1.1
End0.9
blue by 5.1
2640
#25
9.90.8
10.911.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End1.8
Third
5679
#29
4.61.0
7.48.4
Auto3.9
Teleop-0.1
End0.8
blue by 1.9
9298
#27
6.50.8
5.36.1
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed